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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Mohamed V
LN

Morocco
3 - 0
Liberia

Harit (45+2'), El Kaabi (59' pen.), Adli (89')
Aguerd (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sangare (15'), Dweh (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 Morocco
Saturday, October 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 2-3 Libya
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Morocco 3-0 Liberia

Morocco boast quality players all over the pitch and are huge favourites to emerge victorious here. We are backing the home side to run out comfortable winners come the sound of the 90 minutes in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.77%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result
MoroccoDrawLiberia
73.23% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65) 17.75% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 9.02% (0.744 0.74)
Both teams to score 39.84% (3.196 3.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (2.598 2.6)48.23% (-2.596 -2.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (2.333 2.33)70.38% (-2.33 -2.33)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.559 0.56)11.69% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (1.185 1.19)36.78% (-1.182 -1.18)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.11% (3.355 3.36)54.89% (-3.353 -3.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.19% (1.913 1.91)87.81% (-1.91 -1.91)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 73.22%
    Liberia 9.02%
    Draw 17.75%
MoroccoDrawLiberia
2-0 @ 14.78% (-0.94 -0.94)
1-0 @ 13.77% (-1.2 -1.2)
3-0 @ 10.57% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.365 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.393 0.39)
4-0 @ 5.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.28 0.28)
5-0 @ 2.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.295 0.3)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.15 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 73.22%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.165 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.716 -0.72)
2-2 @ 2.66% (0.361 0.36)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 17.75%
0-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.48% (0.29 0.29)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 9.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 Morocco
Saturday, October 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Morocco
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Cape Verde
Monday, June 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Peru
Tuesday, March 28 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 25 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 2-3 Libya
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Liberia
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 1-2 South Africa
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 0-0 Liberia
Sunday, September 25 at 4pm in International Friendlies


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