Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Sierra Leone |
32.37% (![]() | 26.67% (![]() | 40.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.43% (![]() | 53.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.92% (![]() | 75.08% (![]() |
Guinea-Bissau Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% (![]() | 30.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.84% (![]() | 67.16% (![]() |
Sierra Leone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% (![]() | 25.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.31% (![]() | 60.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Sierra Leone |
1-0 @ 9.34% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.37% | 1-1 @ 12.67% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 10.78% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.95% |
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