SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Sierra Leone |
32.37% ( 0.2) | 26.67% ( 0.21) | 40.96% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.43% ( -0.79) | 53.57% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.92% ( -0.67) | 75.08% ( 0.67) |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( -0.26) | 30.88% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( -0.31) | 67.16% ( 0.32) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% ( -0.57) | 25.75% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% ( -0.78) | 60.69% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Sierra Leone |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.37% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
