SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
31.83% ( 1.74) | 29.18% ( 0.03) | 38.98% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 43.92% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.23% ( 0.31) | 62.77% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.7% ( 0.22) | 82.3% ( -0.22) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.93% ( 1.48) | 36.07% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.15% ( 1.48) | 72.85% ( -1.48) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.89) | 31.3% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( -1.05) | 67.66% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 38.98% |
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