Neither team is in impressive attacking form, so we are anticipating a drab affair with little goalmouth action at either end. That said, we can also see Libya narrowly piping Mozambique to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for Libya had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.26%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
2.37) 
-0.62) 
