Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Tunisia win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
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