SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Eswatini |
65.63% ( -0.03) | 22.69% ( -0.02) | 11.68% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 35.52% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% ( 0.14) | 59.85% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% ( 0.11) | 80.13% ( -0.11) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% ( 0.04) | 17.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.43% ( 0.07) | 48.57% ( -0.07) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.23% ( 0.18) | 56.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.09% ( 0.1) | 88.91% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mali | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 17.45% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 15.04% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 65.62% | 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 5.73% 1-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 11.68% |
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