SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Belgium | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Canada | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Morocco win was 1-0 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Cape Verde |
33.56% ( 0.01) | 29.86% ( -0.01) | 36.58% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 42.43% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.27% ( 0.01) | 64.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.3% ( 0.01) | 83.69% ( -0.01) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.01) | 35.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( 0.01) | 72.66% ( -0.01) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0) | 33.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.51% ( 0) | 70.49% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 33.56% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.85% | 0-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.57% |
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