SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Morocco |
57.12% ( -0.33) | 22.99% ( 0.24) | 19.88% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( -0.9) | 47.86% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( -0.84) | 70.04% ( 0.84) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.43) | 16.51% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% ( -0.78) | 46.26% ( 0.78) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.74% ( -0.43) | 38.25% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% ( -0.41) | 75.01% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 57.11% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.88% |
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