MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:09:37
SM
Club Brugge vs. Aston Villa: 18 hrs 35 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
MN
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium
BF

Mali
2 - 1
Burkina Faso

Tapsoba (3' og.), Sinayoko (47')
Sinayoko (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Traore (57' pen.)
Tapsoba (27'), Badolo (72'), Tapsoba (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Mali
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Angola 2-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Mali 1-0 Burkina Faso

We anticipate a closely-fought contest between these two teams, but Mali are likely to prevail in the end. The Eagles have demonstrated their defensive solidity, which is often a decisive factor in tournament football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawBurkina Faso
61.1% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05) 23.66% (0.143 0.14) 15.25% (-0.086 -0.09)
Both teams to score 41.27% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.63 -0.63)57.06% (0.634 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.506 -0.51)77.95% (0.512 0.51)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.252 -0.25)18.43% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)49.59% (0.434 0.43)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.6% (-0.504 -0.5)49.41% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.76% (-0.359 -0.36)84.24% (0.363 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Mali 61.09%
    Burkina Faso 15.25%
    Draw 23.65%
MaliDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.39% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 13.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.219 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.24% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Mali
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 6-2 Guinea-Bissau
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-1 CAR
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mali 3-1 Chad
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Angola 2-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Burkina Faso
Saturday, January 20 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, January 16 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Burkina Faso
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 2-1 Burkina Faso
Friday, January 5 at 2.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .