SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Togo win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw has a probability of 25.9% and a win for Equatorial Guinea has a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it is 0-1 (7.69%).
| Result | ||
| Togo | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
56.31% ( -0.07) | 25.92% ( 0.04) | 17.76% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.23% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.87% ( -0.1) | 61.12% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.91% ( -0.07) | 81.08% ( 0.07) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0.07) | 21.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.84% ( -0.11) | 55.15% ( 0.1) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.03) | 48.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.41% ( -0.02) | 83.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Togo | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 16.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.3% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.76% |
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