SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 36.24%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 31.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 2-1 (6.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.35%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liberia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
36.24% ( 0.42) | 32.05% ( 0.18) | 31.71% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 36.92% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.92% ( -0.52) | 71.07% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.09% ( -0.33) | 87.91% ( 0.33) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% ( -0.01) | 37.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.66% ( -0.01) | 74.34% ( 0.01) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.13% ( -0.77) | 40.87% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.56% ( -0.69) | 77.44% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liberia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 15.03% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.24% | 0-0 @ 15.35% ( 0.3) 1-1 @ 13.45% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 32.05% | 0-1 @ 13.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.14)1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.7% |
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