SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Namibia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | South Africa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Namibia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | South Africa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mali had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mali win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Mali |
| 53.34% | 27.03% ( -0.02) | 19.62% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.36% ( 0.05) | 62.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.79% ( 0.04) | 82.2% ( -0.04) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( 0.02) | 23.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( 0.03) | 57.99% ( -0.04) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.84% ( 0.05) | 47.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.39% ( 0.04) | 82.6% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 16.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 53.33% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.62% |
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