SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | South Africa |
23.98% ( -0.03) | 26.5% ( -0.01) | 49.52% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.84% ( 0.01) | 57.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% ( 0.01) | 78.03% ( -0.01) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( -0.02) | 39.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.85% ( -0.02) | 76.15% ( 0.02) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.02) | 23.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( 0.03) | 57.05% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Sudan | Draw | South Africa |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.98% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 13.36% 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.52% |
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