There is little to choose between the sides heading into this one, and Thursday's game is firmly in the balance. We can see the sides matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a share of the spoils in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 40.08%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 28.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
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