SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 2-1 (7.47%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Mozambique |
38.55% ( 0.01) | 30% ( -0.03) | 31.45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.72% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.6% ( 0.09) | 65.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.83% ( 0.07) | 84.16% ( -0.07) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.06) | 32.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( 0.06) | 69.5% ( -0.06) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.2% ( 0.07) | 37.79% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.43% ( 0.06) | 74.57% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Mozambique |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.55% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.99% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 31.44% |
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