SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 43.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Tunisia |
43.02% ( -0.18) | 28.86% ( 0.09) | 28.11% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.33% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.2% ( -0.24) | 62.79% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.68% ( -0.18) | 82.32% ( 0.17) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( -0.22) | 28.98% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( -0.27) | 64.88% ( 0.26) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( -0.06) | 38.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% ( -0.05) | 75.7% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 43.02% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 28.11% |
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