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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Olympique de Rades
ST
Tunisia
4 - 0
Sao Tome
Meriah (37'), Msakni (53'), Rafia (79'), Ben Larbi (88')
Rafia (50'), Jouini (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Viegas (22'), Silva (25'), Viegas (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 2-0 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Tunisia 3-1 Sao Tome & Principe

Tunisia have endured a tough run of results of late but are still huge favourites to come out on top here. We fully expect the hosts to get the job done in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 93.63%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 1.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.56%) and 2-0 (12.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.34%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (0.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawSao Tome & Principe
93.63% (1.26 1.26) 5.03% (-0.8839 -0.88) 1.33% (-0.3779 -0.38)
Both teams to score 28.62% (-2.053 -2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.1% (1.874 1.87)23.89% (-1.877 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.54% (2.457 2.46)43.45% (-2.46 -2.46)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.39% (0.43899999999999 0.44)2.61% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.88% (1.57 1.57)12.12% (-1.573 -1.57)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
29.38% (-2.252 -2.25)70.61% (2.248 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.81% (-0.82 -0.82)95.18% (0.81699999999999 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 93.62%
    Sao Tome & Principe 1.33%
    Draw 5.03%
TunisiaDrawSao Tome & Principe
3-0 @ 14.88% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 13.56% (0.67 0.67)
2-0 @ 12.24% (-0.45 -0.45)
5-0 @ 9.9% (0.898 0.9)
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.56 -0.56)
6-0 @ 6.02% (0.78 0.78)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.439 -0.44)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 4.26% (-0.569 -0.57)
5-1 @ 3.44% (0.021 0.02)
7-0 @ 3.13% (0.523 0.52)
6-1 @ 2.09% (0.102 0.1)
8-0 @ 1.43% (0.289 0.29)
7-1 @ 1.09% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 0.9% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 93.62%
1-1 @ 2.34% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 1.84% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 5.03%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 1.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Japan 2-0 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 4-0 Tunisia
Friday, October 13 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-3 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Botswana
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 1-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, June 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Wednesday, June 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-2 Sierra Leone
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-2 Sao Tome
Wednesday, March 22 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-10 Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 5-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

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