SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Belgium | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Canada | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.32%).
| Result | ||
| Morocco | Draw | Sudan |
61.82% ( 0.11) | 23.52% ( -0.03) | 14.66% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 40.42% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.01) | 57.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% ( -0.01) | 78.29% ( 0.01) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( 0.04) | 18.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.58% ( 0.06) | 49.42% ( -0.06) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.48% ( -0.12) | 50.51% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.99% ( -0.08) | 85.01% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 15.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 61.8% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 14.66% |
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