Niger were on the receiving end of a demoralising loss last time out, so it remains to be seen how dampened their morale will be heading into this one. Mozambique, meanwhile, came away from their semi-final clash with their heads high, and we can see them carrying the day here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Madagascar in this match.
