SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Madagascar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Madagascar |
| 39.97% | 29.18% | 30.85% |
| Both teams to score 43.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.03% | 62.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% | 82.44% |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% | 30.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% | 67.08% |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.1% | 36.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.31% | 73.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 7.86% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 0.91% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.32% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.85% |
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