SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for an AIK Fotboll win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
61.14% ( 2.12) | 20.86% ( -0.7) | 17.99% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.65% ( 0.93) | 41.34% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( 0.94) | 63.74% ( -0.93) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 0.94) | 13.05% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.37% ( 1.88) | 39.63% ( -1.87) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% ( -0.99) | 36.51% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.71% ( -1.01) | 73.29% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.27)1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.4)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.15% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.51% Total : 17.99% |
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