SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Malmo |
51.81% ( 0.01) | 27.22% ( 0.02) | 20.96% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.97% ( -0.09) | 62.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% ( -0.06) | 81.75% ( 0.06) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( -0.03) | 24.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% ( -0.05) | 58.59% ( 0.05) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.71% ( -0.09) | 45.29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.83% ( -0.07) | 81.17% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 15.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.96% |
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