SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Union Berlin |
33.02% ( -0.19) | 25.45% ( -0.06) | 41.53% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( 0.22) | 48.3% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( 0.2) | 70.45% ( -0.2) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.01) | 27.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.56% ( -0.01) | 63.44% ( 0.01) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( 0.22) | 23.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( 0.32) | 56.96% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.02% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.53% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
