SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malmo in this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Malmo |
24.94% ( 0.19) | 23.83% ( -0.1) | 51.22% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( 0.62) | 45.85% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( 0.59) | 68.16% ( -0.59) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.49) | 32.39% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( 0.55) | 68.91% ( -0.55) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( 0.2) | 17.92% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.26% ( 0.35) | 48.73% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.22% |
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