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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Arsenal

Ruiz (90+3')
Di Franco (61'), Orihuela (66'), Romero (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Independiente
Friday, May 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawArsenal Sarandi
47.09% (-0.35 -0.35) 28.59% (0.151 0.15) 24.32% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 41.49% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.21% (-0.338 -0.34)63.79% (0.335 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.96% (-0.241 -0.24)83.04% (0.239 0.24)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)27.32% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (-0.437 -0.44)62.77% (0.435 0.43)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.08% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)42.92% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)79.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 47.08%
    Arsenal Sarandi 24.32%
    Draw 28.57%
Atletico TucumanDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 15.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.72% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 24.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, May 13 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Tucuman
Saturday, May 6 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, April 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-3 Tucuman
Monday, April 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-2 Rosario
Tuesday, April 18 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Independiente
Friday, May 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Arsenal
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 Gimnasia
Monday, May 8 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 2-1 Arsenal
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Union
Saturday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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