SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
38.6% ( -0.14) | 30.65% ( -0.09) | 30.75% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 39.94% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.3) | 67.44% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.44% ( 0.2) | 85.56% ( -0.2) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( 0.08) | 33.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( 0.08) | 70.66% ( -0.08) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( 0.36) | 39.5% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( 0.33) | 76.19% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 14.48% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.64% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 30.74% |
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