SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.26%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Independiente |
36.84% ( 0.14) | 30.12% ( 0.02) | 33.04% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.7% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.44% ( -0.07) | 65.56% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.72% ( -0.05) | 84.28% ( 0.05) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( 0.05) | 34.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( 0.06) | 70.79% ( -0.05) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( -0.15) | 36.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% ( -0.15) | 73.5% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 33.03% |
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