SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millonarios would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millonarios | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
50.44% ( 0.2) | 26.83% ( -0) | 22.74% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.73% ( -0.15) | 59.27% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% ( -0.11) | 79.68% ( 0.11) |
| Millonarios Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.03) | 23.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( 0.04) | 57.76% ( -0.04) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% ( -0.28) | 41.85% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.7% ( -0.24) | 78.3% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millonarios | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.15% Total : 22.74% |
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