SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Talleres |
29.87% ( 0.01) | 29.22% ( -0.02) | 40.91% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.21% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.66% ( 0.06) | 63.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.29% ( 0.04) | 82.71% ( -0.04) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( 0.04) | 37.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( 0.04) | 74.65% ( -0.03) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( 0.04) | 30.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( 0.04) | 66.65% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 13.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0)1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 40.91% |
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