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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
45.2% ( -0.33) | 27.32% ( -0.01) | 27.47% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.08% ( 0.2) | 57.92% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% ( 0.15) | 78.63% ( -0.15) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.08) | 25.55% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( -0.11) | 60.41% ( 0.11) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( 0.39) | 36.82% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% ( 0.39) | 73.6% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.47% |
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