SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
39.46% ( 0.39) | 25.87% ( -0.12) | 34.67% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( 0.49) | 49.75% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( 0.44) | 71.75% ( -0.44) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( 0.43) | 24.81% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( 0.6) | 59.39% ( -0.59) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( 0.07) | 27.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( 0.09) | 63.02% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.46% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.67% |
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