Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
