SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
39.23% ( 0.14) | 28.09% ( -0.36) | 32.68% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.11% ( 1.31) | 58.89% ( -1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( 1.01) | 79.38% ( -1) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.73) | 29.22% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( 0.88) | 65.17% ( -0.88) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( 0.85) | 33.39% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( 0.91) | 70.02% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.67% |
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