SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Instituto |
52.15% ( -0.35) | 26.62% ( 0.17) | 21.24% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 43.25% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% ( -0.38) | 59.85% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% ( -0.29) | 80.12% ( 0.3) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.32) | 23.14% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( -0.47) | 57.01% ( 0.48) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.02) | 43.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.1% ( -0.02) | 79.9% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.24% |
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