Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.68%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.19%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Independiente
43.68% ( -0.36)	30.03% ( -0.04)	26.29% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 39.51% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.01% (

0.28)

66.99% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.74% (

0.19)

85.26% (

-0.19)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.28% (

-0.06)

30.72% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.03% (

-0.07)

66.98% (

0.06)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.03% (

0.52)

42.97% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.74% (

0.44)

79.26% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 43.67%

Independiente 26.28%

Draw 30.02%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 15.57% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.21% Total : 43.67%	0-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.14) 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.02%	0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.06% Total : 26.28%