SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
48.06% ( -0.02) | 27.85% ( 0.01) | 24.09% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.07% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.02) | 61.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.51% ( -0.01) | 81.49% ( 0.02) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -0.02) | 25.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.19% ( -0.02) | 60.81% ( 0.03) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% ( 0) | 41.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.64% ( 0) | 78.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.09% |
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