Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (13.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | San Lorenzo |
35.16% (![]() | 31.21% (![]() | 33.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.29% (![]() | 68.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.6% (![]() | 86.4% (![]() |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.04% (![]() | 36.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% (![]() | 73.75% (![]() |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% (![]() | 38.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% (![]() | 74.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sarmiento | Draw | San Lorenzo |
1-0 @ 13.99% (![]() 2-0 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 1.84% Total : 35.15% | 0-0 @ 14.06% (![]() 1-1 @ 13.52% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.2% | 0-1 @ 13.58% (![]() 0-2 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.67% Total : 33.62% |
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