SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Boca Juniors |
26.03% ( -0) | 26.67% ( 0.02) | 47.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.62% ( -0.07) | 56.38% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.6% ( -0.06) | 77.4% ( 0.06) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( -0.04) | 37.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.03% ( -0.04) | 73.97% ( 0.05) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( -0.04) | 23.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( -0.05) | 58.04% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.3% |
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