SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Colon had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Colon |
49.62% ( 0.1) | 28.26% ( -0.04) | 22.11% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.24% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.73% ( 0.07) | 64.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.62% ( 0.05) | 83.37% ( -0.05) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( 0.08) | 26.29% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% ( 0.11) | 61.41% ( -0.11) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.6% ( -0.02) | 45.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.75% ( -0.02) | 81.25% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 15.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 49.61% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.11% |
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