SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
37.34% ( 0.53) | 27.88% ( -0.31) | 34.78% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.1% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.15% ( 1.12) | 57.85% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( 0.88) | 78.57% ( -0.88) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.88) | 29.84% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( 1.06) | 65.92% ( -1.06) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( 0.42) | 31.44% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% ( 0.49) | 67.82% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.78% |
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