SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
46.59% ( 0.38) | 29.39% ( 0.75) | 24.02% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.39% ( -2.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.71% ( -2.82) | 66.29% ( 2.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.22% ( -1.97) | 84.78% ( 1.97) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -1.17) | 28.79% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -1.48) | 64.64% ( 1.48) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.32% ( -2.73) | 44.68% ( 2.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.33% ( -2.28) | 80.67% ( 2.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 16.01% ( 1.11) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.43% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.86% ( 1.28)2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.38)Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.02% |
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