Although they certainly improved in their new coach's first game in charge, Huracan still failed to score last time out and do not pack a punch in the final third. As several Boca stars could be back on the bench following injury, the hosts' greater firepower will therefore swing the result in their favour.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.
-0.57) 
0.22) 
