Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties
We say: Boca Juniors 2-0 Nacional
There was very little to separate them in the first leg and it is likely that this will be another close game between two strong teams.
However, with the home advantage and the recent impressive defensive run that Boca Juniors have been enjoying, they will head into this one as the slight favourites.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.01%).
| Result |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Nacional |
57.76% ( -0) | 24.61% ( 0) | 17.63% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.24% ( -0) |
| 43.02% ( -0) | 56.98% ( 0) |
| 22.12% ( -0) | 77.88% ( 0) |
| 80.35% ( -0) | 19.65% ( 0) |
