SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Cordoba win with a probability of 41.37%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 29.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Cordoba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Cordoba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Colon |
41.37% ( 0.07) | 29.57% ( 0.04) | 29.07% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.01% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.34% ( -0.15) | 64.66% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.35% ( -0.1) | 83.65% ( 0.11) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.03) | 30.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -0.04) | 67.13% ( 0.05) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( -0.16) | 39.25% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.04% ( -0.15) | 75.96% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.26% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.55% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 29.06% |
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