SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 45.38%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Colon |
45.38% ( 0.64) | 28.46% ( -0.1) | 26.15% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 43.17% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.6% ( 0.05) | 62.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.97% ( 0.04) | 82.03% ( -0.04) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.36) | 27.53% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( 0.46) | 63.04% ( -0.47) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.57% ( -0.44) | 40.43% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.95% ( -0.4) | 77.04% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.71% Total : 45.37% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.32% Total : 26.15% |
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