SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Colon had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Colon |
53.18% ( 0.03) | 25.83% ( 0.01) | 20.98% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.95% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.55% ( -0.07) | 57.45% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% ( -0.05) | 78.25% ( 0.05) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( -0.02) | 21.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% ( -0.02) | 54.84% ( 0.02) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.08) | 42.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% ( -0.07) | 78.96% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 53.18% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.98% |
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