SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Independiente |
38.63% ( -1.04) | 27.92% ( -0.22) | 33.45% ( 1.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% ( 1.02) | 58.15% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.19% ( 0.79) | 78.81% ( -0.79) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( -0.11) | 29.22% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( -0.13) | 65.16% ( 0.13) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( 1.41) | 32.48% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( 1.55) | 69% ( -1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.45% |
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