Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
