SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 43.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Sarmiento |
43.75% ( 4.46) | 29.22% ( -0.23) | 27.04% ( -4.22) |
| Both teams to score 41.85% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.66% ( -0.61) | 64.34% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.58% ( -0.43) | 83.42% ( 0.43) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 2.26) | 29.35% ( -2.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( 2.68) | 65.32% ( -2.68) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( -3.75) | 40.77% ( 3.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( -3.55) | 77.35% ( 3.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 14.66% ( 1.19) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 1.23)2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.16)Other @ 1.43% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.89) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.75)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.96)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.47)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.03% |
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