SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Talleres in this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
49.39% ( -0.52) | 26.71% ( 0.3) | 23.9% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% ( -0.88) | 57.97% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% ( -0.7) | 78.67% ( 0.7) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.61) | 23.57% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% ( -0.9) | 57.64% ( 0.9) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.02% ( -0.29) | 39.98% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.37% ( -0.27) | 76.63% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.91% |
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