SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Sarmiento |
57.85% ( -0.15) | 25.05% ( 0.07) | 17.1% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 41.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.85% ( -0.14) | 59.14% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.42% ( -0.11) | 79.58% ( 0.11) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( -0.11) | 20.46% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% ( -0.18) | 52.93% ( 0.18) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.85% ( 0.02) | 48.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.66% ( 0.02) | 83.34% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 57.84% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.1% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
